Банк России пересмотрит свой прогноз по ожидаемой траектории ключевой ставки в случае изменения параметров федерального бюджета предстоящей осенью. Об этом сообщил зампред ЦБ Алексей Заботкин, отвечая на вопросы читателей официального Telegram-канала Центробанка.
«Вклад бюджета и госсектора в совокупный спрос в 2025 году будет дезинфляционным. В июльский прогноз Банка России и, в частности, прогнозную траекторию ставки, которая в нем содержится, заложены бюджетные расходы с учетом бюджетных поправок, принятых летом. Совет директоров придает большое значение предсказуемости бюджетной политики. В случае изменения параметров бюджета может требоваться уточнение прогнозной траектории ставки», — рассказал Заботкин.
В июльской версии среднесрочного прогноза Банка России по среднему значению ключевой ставки сейчас указаны уровни в 16,3-18% до конца 2025 года и 12-13% в 2026 году.
Источник: rg.ru
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